Picard condition — where it appears
Named by 3 essays across one field — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.
Where the answer stops being in the data
The Picard condition finds the index where a noisy right-hand side stops carrying signal, from the data alone, with no knowledge of the answer. It lands at 32 where the truncation that actually minimises the error is 28 — and at 45 where the best is 38. It overshoots at every stop from 10% noise to 0.0001%, and it overshoots for a reason. The best truncation walks up the spectrum in a straight line, six or seven indices a decade; the crossing climbs in jumps of 11, 0, 8, 5 and 1.
Noise that spares the answer and fools the rules
Make each noise sample remember the last one, keep its size fixed, and the best answer available gets slightly better — 0.1056 to 0.1010 — because slow noise hides in the directions where dividing by σ costs nothing. The Picard crossing still lands two dozen indices past the best truncation. What breaks is the rules. Generalised cross-validation more than doubles the best error on 14 draws of 48 instead of 3, the discrepancy principle's typical cost triples, and the two miss in opposite directions. Whitening by the covariance takes GCV back to 3.
Thirty-two coefficients instead of a noise level
The discrepancy principle has to be told the noise, and told too little it does not degrade — it falls off a cliff, at 0.80 of the truth when the noise is 10% and at 0.58 when it is 0.001%, exactly where the understatement forces the filter past its best truncation. The missing number is in the data. The root mean square of the last thirty-two coefficients never sends the rule over the cliff at or below 1% noise in four hundred draws, where eight coefficients with the same median do so thirty-five times.
Named alongside it
The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.
Noise floorRegularisationDiscrepancy principleFilter factorsIll-posed problemParameter choiceSingular value decompositionTikhonov regularisationCorrelated noiseGeneralised cross-validationL-curveOracle