Elimination — the series
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Elimination is a sequence of choices
Gaussian elimination is taught as a procedure with no decisions in it. There is one decision at every step — which row to use — and every stability property the algorithm has comes from making it well.
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Which of the choices is doing the work
Elimination makes n − 1 decisions and they are not worth the same. On 8×8 standard normal matrices, removing the first pivot search and leaving the other six multiplies the median growth factor by 1.624; removing the last multiplies it by 1.000. The cost falls monotonically along the run, and the worst single matrix in the sweep grows by 2,366 when one early decision goes — so the median is the wrong statistic and the tail is where pivoting earns its reputation.
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The order the greedy rule cannot choose
Wilkinson's matrix is the standard demonstration that partial pivoting's growth bound of 2^(n−1) is attained. It is attained by the row order the greedy rule picks, and not by the matrix: a single cyclic shift of the rows gives growth 2 at every size, with no multiplier above one. At n = 7 that is 64 against 2. And perturbing one entry by 10⁻¹² leaves the good order exactly where it was while putting every tie-break of the greedy rule back on 64.
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One step ahead is one step short
Partial pivoting takes the largest entry in the column and, on Wilkinson's matrix, walks into growth of 2^(n−1) that a cyclic shift of the rows avoids entirely. A rule that chose instead the pivot whose elimination leaves the smallest trailing submatrix was expected to see the good order at the first step. It sees nothing there: every first pivot leaves a largest entry of exactly 2, and with the ties broken by 10⁻¹² it prefers the greedy row by 10⁻¹². It attains 2^(n−1) at every size. Looking two eliminations ahead, the greedy row scores 4 and every other row 2, and the growth is 2 at every size up to 24. On random matrices one step of look-ahead helps below n = 16 and is worse than greedy on more than half of them by n = 32.
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A doubling that arrives two steps late
A pivot rule that looks one elimination ahead chooses Wilkinson's growth row for row, because the doubling it sets up arrives one step later; looking two ahead escapes it. The argument said a matrix whose damage arrives two steps late would defeat the two-step rule the same way. It exists, and it is two Wilkinson matrices interleaved: W ⊗ I₂. Every look-ahead of depth one or two reproduces the greedy rule's growth on it exactly, 4 to 64 from n = 6 to 14, and depth three gives 2. Three copies defeat depth three and yield to four. The growth each depth is held to is 2^(n/d − 1): a fixed depth stretches the exponential and never removes it, at a cost that rises by a factor of about n for every step it looks.
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The doubling is in the row already
Interleave d copies of Wilkinson's matrix and every pivot rule that looks up to d eliminations ahead walks into growth 2^(n/d − 1); escaping costs a look one step deeper, and a deeper look multiplies its trial eliminations. Rook pivoting looks no further than the present step and escapes every one of them — growth exactly 2 at every deferral and every size — for 3.2 times partial pivoting's comparisons whatever the deferral. The doubling a look-ahead hunts for in the future is already visible in the row in front of it. And the leak that was supposed to let the two-step rule escape was placed where no pivot is ever chosen: at every size up to one, it changes nothing.