Fitting — the series
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The valley with no bottom
A degree-nine fit's coefficients can be moved by a third of their own size before the residual changes in the sixth significant figure. The arithmetic did not lose those digits. The data never contained them.
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A basis built from the points
A polynomial fit computed in monomials and in an orthogonal basis gives the same curve on exact data, and the valley essay drew the two lying on top of each other. Add 0.1% noise and they separate — by 1.7·10⁻⁵ at degree 40 and 0.004 at degree 48 — because the fitted curve moves with the basis by its condition number times the rounding times the residual. Chebyshev polynomials keep that small only on points spread like their weight; on a sample with a hole in it they reach κ = 1.55·10⁷. A basis orthogonalised against the sample points themselves stays at 1 on every set.