Series

Parameter choice — the series

9 essays on one idea, from the one that introduces it to the one that assumes the rest.
  1. 10⁻²10⁻¹110¹10²10³10⁴‖Ax − b‖‖x‖the oraclediscrepancyL-curvegeneralisedscored against a truth none hasoracle, relative error0.11discrepancy principle, as a multiple1.1L-curve corner, as a multiple2.3generalised cross-validation, as a multiple1the oracle needs the exact answer and is not a methodit is the reference the others are scored on

    Choosing without knowing

    Three published rules for choosing a regularisation parameter, scored against an oracle that requires the exact answer and is therefore not a method. Generalised cross-validation lands on the oracle's λ exactly; the discrepancy principle costs 6%; the L-curve costs 129%. And told a noise level ten times too small, the discrepancy principle's error goes from 0.112 to 10,449.

    part 1 · regularisation
  2. 00.250.50.75110⁻¹110¹10²10³fraction of the method's own rangerelative errorfloor 0.141truncation KTikhonov λCGLS steprandomised rankfour methods, one floortruncation K0.14Tikhonov λ0.14CGLS step0.14randomised rank0.14four knobs from four fieldsand one obstruction underneath them

    Four knobs and one floor

    A truncation, a Tikhonov parameter, a step count and a randomised rank, on one problem with an answer that is known. Their best errors are 0.1445, 0.1406, 0.1426 and 0.1449 — a spread of 3% across four methods that share no arithmetic.

    part 2 · combination
  3. 27121722273237424710⁻²10⁻¹110¹subspace size kvalueno answer below 8GCV's traceλ from GCVλ from the residuala denominator that is not the problem'strace at k = 41trace at k = 4827λ range across the run2.2subspace before an answer8the divisor moves by twenty-sevenand the answer does not move

    A parameter chosen on a smaller problem

    Inside a hybrid method the regularisation parameter is chosen on a 25×24 problem rather than a 64×64 one. The rule that reads a residual transfers exactly; the rule that reads a trace is biased by exactly two grid steps at twenty-four steps and one at forty, at every noise level from 10% to 0.1%.

    part 3 · combination
  4. 1110¹10²10³10⁴10⁵the noise level it is told ÷ the true oneerror ÷ the oracle's0.40.50.71.523twice the oraclecliff, ρ = 0.69told the truthworst of 400middle 80%median draweach draw against its own oraclecliff, median ρ0.69told the truth, median1.1told a half, median3201shaded: the middle 80% of drawsbelow the cliff the error has doubled

    Thirty-two coefficients instead of a noise level

    The discrepancy principle has to be told the noise, and told too little it does not degrade — it falls off a cliff, at 0.80 of the truth when the noise is 10% and at 0.58 when it is 0.001%, exactly where the understatement forces the filter past its best truncation. The missing number is in the data. The root mean square of the last thirty-two coefficients never sends the rule over the cliff at or below 1% noise in four hundred draws, where eight coefficients with the same median do so thirty-five times.

    part 4 · regularisation
  5. 110¹10²10³10⁴10⁵10⁶error ÷ the oracle's, on the same drawten times the oracleover tendiscrepancy principletold ‖e‖0 of 1000unbiased risktold σ²15 of 1000cross-validationtold nothing57 of 1000quasi-optimalitytold nothing0 of 1000L-curvetold nothing0 of 1000blue: median · bar to the 90th percentile · line to the 99th · red: worstthe counts are the tail

    One draw in twenty

    Sixteen draws gave generalised cross-validation a worst case of 12%. A thousand draws at each of five noise levels give it a second answer on four to six in every hundred, ten to seven million times worse than the oracle, while its median stays among the best of five rules. The quasi-optimality criterion, told nothing either, never costs more than 1.41 in five thousand draws. The share settles by a thousand draws, and letting the search look further down more than triples it.

    part 5 · regularisation
  6. 10⁻⁸10⁻⁷10⁻⁶10⁻⁵10⁻⁴10⁻³10⁻²10⁻¹110⁻⁴10⁻³10⁻²10⁻¹110¹10²10³10⁴λnoise part ÷ signal part, in ‖x‖where every corner sitsthe corner, ×2.29the oraclethe corner reads ‖x‖noise share at the corner0.23noise share at the oracle0.026corner ÷ oracle, this draw2.3corner ÷ oracle, 60-draw median1.5noise share: ‖L·(noise part)‖ ÷ ‖L·(signal part)‖the corner reads that share

    The corner reads the norm it is drawn in

    The L-curve was the costliest rule this field scored, and the cost was not the rule's. On the same sixty draws, with the same best achievable error, the corner of ‖x‖ against the residual costs 1.53 times the oracle and the corner of ‖L₁x‖ costs 1.003. Across five signals and three penalties the corner lands wherever amplified noise is between a tenth and a fifth of the norm being plotted, and it finds the oracle only when the oracle happens to sit there — twenty-nine times too costly on a smooth signal under ‖x‖, within half a per cent on four spikes.

    part 6 · regularisation
  7. where each λ sitsoracle's share0.0037corner's share0.1corner's cost25and what a target costsbest fixed target0.0035its cost1estimate ÷ truth at the oracle0.9210⁻⁸10⁻⁶10⁻⁴10⁻²110⁻³10⁻²10⁻¹110¹10²10³10⁴λnoise part ÷ signal parttarget 0.0035oracle λ: share 0.0037corner: share 0.102solid: the share on this draw · dashed: the share a rule can estimatethe rule is a level set of the dashed curve

    A rule that has to be told how good its answer will be

    The L-curve's corner reads a noise share of 0.10 to 0.21 across fifteen pairings of signal and penalty, and the share the best λ sits at runs from 0.0037 to 0.43 — a factor of a hundred and fifteen. A rule aimed at the right share is within a few per cent of the oracle on every one of them. The right share is about a third to four-fifths of the relative error that λ will achieve, which is the number the answer was wanted for.

    part 7 · regularisation
  8. what each reachesbest pair0.0034‖x‖ alone0.0048‖L₁x‖ alone0.0035λ₁, on ‖x‖λ₂, on ‖L₁x‖ — log₁₀0-6-5-4-3-2-100-6-5-4-3-2-10outlined row and column: one penalty switched offred cell: the best pair, 0.00343darker is worse, on a logarithmic scalethe optimum sits on or beside an edge

    A second penalty is not a second parameter

    Penalise ‖x‖ and ‖L₁x‖ at once and there are two λ to choose. Over ten draws on five signals the best pair beats the better single penalty by between 0.00% and 3.1%, and one of its two parameters is exactly zero on 30 to 70 per cent of draws. Choosing the wrong one of the two costs up to 54%. The surface is a choice between two curves with a knob nobody needs.

    part 8 · regularisation
  9. 1×1.1×1.5×2×3×stepoffsetsmoothoscillatingspikeswrong penalty ÷ right oneone penalty ÷ best pairbest pair ÷ best triplewrong penalty ÷ right oneone penalty ÷ best pairbest pair ÷ best triplewrong penalty ÷ right oneone penalty ÷ best pairbest pair ÷ best triplewrong penalty ÷ right oneone penalty ÷ best pairbest pair ÷ best triplewrong penalty ÷ right oneone penalty ÷ best pairbest pair ÷ best tripleeach tick one drawthe choice is worth a factor, the third penalty nothing

    A third penalty on a flat floor

    Two penalties at once were worth three per cent at most, and the explanation offered was that one penalty already does the work — which predicts that a third buys less still and that the best choice sits on a face of the parameter cube. The third buys a median of exactly nothing on all five signals and 0.66% on its best draw. But on twelve draws of forty the best triple does use all three, and on every one of them the nearest point with a penalty switched off is within that same 0.66%. The minimum is not on a face; it is on a floor so flat that where it lands is noise. Choosing the right single penalty is worth a factor of two.

    part 9 · regularisation

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