Ladder
Regularisation — the ladder
2 distinct arguments against one idea, from the one that introduces it to the one that assumes the rest.
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When the answer is a choice
A backward-stable least-squares solve of this problem returns an answer whose relative error is 5.5·10⁸. Nothing went wrong. The singular values decay exponentially with no gap anywhere in them, the data does not determine the answer, and something outside the data has to choose — which is the computation rather than a preliminary to it.
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Where the answer stops being in the data
The Picard condition finds the index where a noisy right-hand side stops carrying signal, from the data alone, with no knowledge of the answer. It lands at 32 where the truncation that actually minimises the error is 28 — and at 45 where the best is 38. It overshoots at every noise level from 1% to 0.001%, and it overshoots for a reason.