Concept

Random walk — where it appears

A sum of increments with independent signs, whose size grows like the square root of the number of terms. Three unrelated accumulations on this site behave as one, against bounds that are all linear in the count.

Named by 8 essays across 6 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

051210241536204810⁻¹⁷10⁻¹⁴terms consumederror accumulated so farone accumulator8 piecesthe steps are the partial sumspeak partial sum32the answer1.6·10⁻⁵error, one piece7.6·10⁻¹⁴error, 8 pieces2.4·10⁻¹⁴mean at p = 648.1·10⁻¹⁵the walk sets the sizeand nothing sets the value

Where the disagreement comes from

The error of a reduction is a walk whose step length is the spacing of the running total, not of the answer. That one sentence predicts the size of the disagreement to a factor of two, explains why dividing the work makes it smaller, and explains why the value cannot be predicted at all.

machine · Reduction order
10²10³10⁴10⁻¹⁷10⁻¹⁶10⁻¹⁵10⁻¹⁴10⁻¹³10⁻¹²steps taken‖RᵀR − AᵀA‖ ⁄ ‖AᵀA‖the bound, linear in the steps√k · uevery step safe, the chain notdrift after the run3.9·10⁻¹⁴the bound there3.3·10⁻¹³√k · u there6.1·10⁻¹⁵worst single amplification2.7worst leverage met0.69refreshes1backward stable onceand three thousand times is a different claim

Stable once, and three thousand times

A sliding window adds a row and removes one at every step and never looks at the data again. No single step of it amplifies by more than 2.72, no downdate fails, and after three thousand steps the triangular factor in memory is 3.9·10⁻¹⁴ from the matrix it is supposed to be a factor of — six hundred times growth from a per-step bound that says nothing about chains.

sequence · Sequence stability
01428425670849810⁻¹⁶10⁻¹⁴10⁻¹²10⁻¹⁰10⁻⁸10⁻⁶10⁻⁴10⁻²iterationchange between iteratestwo rates, one curveα0.85λ₂(P)0.9predicted rate0.77measured0.77iterations108against the solve10⁻¹⁶the upper dashed line is αᵏthe curve is on the other one

A ranking that is an eigenvector

PageRank is the stationary vector of a walk that follows links with probability α and jumps at random otherwise. The iteration and the elimination agree to 4·10⁻¹⁷. What α is set to changes which pages come third, fourth and fifth.

graph · Random walk
0173451688510211910⁻⁶10⁻⁵10⁻⁴10⁻³10⁻²10⁻¹1steps of the walkdistance from stationarya rate read as a timeλ₂ of the walk0.9steps measured122steps predicted131ratio0.93the dashed line is the eigenvaluethe curve is the walk

The rate is the second eigenvalue

A walk forgets where it started at a rate the graph's second eigenvalue names exactly. Across three orders of magnitude in the step count the prediction is five per cent high — and the published rate for PageRank is right for a reason nobody states, which is that a link graph is in pieces.

graph · Random walk
0816243211.11.21.31.4terms added, each followed by a truncationerror ⁄ best rank-k erroroptimalterms with nothing in commona subspace that driftsthe rounding nobody should have feareddrifting, worst excess1independent, worst excess1a linear bound would say32energy discarded, first1.8·10⁻⁷energy discarded, last0.03thirty-two roundingsand four per cent

The rounding that was not the problem

A rank-k block plus a rank-k block is a rank-2k block, exactly, so every arithmetic in this format truncates after every addition. A Cholesky performed inside it does ninety-eight of those and its residual is 1.14·10⁻⁹ against a representation error of 1.40·10⁻⁹ — the roundings cost nothing measurable.

hierarchy · Recompression
110¹10²10³110¹10²10³the accumulating quantity, relative to its first valuethe error, relative to its first valuethe bounds: slope 1what all three do: slope ½three mechanisms, one exponenta left-to-right sum0.49a chain of rotations0.55a residual recurrence0.51every bound's slope1spread of the three0.067a bound is a sum of the roundingsand the roundings have signs

Three walks and one bound

A left-to-right sum, a chain of three thousand rotations and a conjugate gradient residual recurrence share no arithmetic and no vocabulary. Each has a standard bound that is linear in whatever it accumulates against. All three come out at a half — 0.486, 0.554 and 0.507 — and nothing is rescaled.

arithmetic · Summation
01428425670849811210⁻²²10⁻¹⁸10⁻¹⁴10⁻¹⁰10⁻⁶10⁻²conjugate gradient iterationrelative residualthe unit roundoff, 1.11·10⁻¹⁶the answer's residualthe residual reportedtwo residuals, one runreported, at its best6.9·10⁻²¹the answer's, at its best5.1·10⁻¹⁰unit roundoff1.1·10⁻¹⁶largest iterate on the way9.3·10¹³iterations drawn110the recurrence remembers every roundingand the stopping test is written in it

The residual the method reports

Conjugate gradients prints a relative residual of 6.9·10⁻²¹. The unit roundoff is 1.1·10⁻¹⁶, so that is not a small residual and not a large one — it is not a residual. The vector the method is holding at that step has ‖b − Ax‖/‖b‖ = 5.1·10⁻¹⁰, and nothing in the run says so.

iterative · Residual gap
10³10⁶10⁹10¹²10¹⁵10⁻¹⁵10⁻¹²10⁻⁹10⁻⁶10⁻³1largest iterate on the way, ‖x‖difference between the two residualsthe bound, linear in ‖x‖what it does, slope 0.46a bound of one, a walk of a halffitted slope0.46the bound's slope1smallest gap measured3.9·10⁻¹⁵largest gap measured1.5·10⁻¹⁰share of the bound, near end9.1·10⁻⁴share of the bound, far end3.4·10⁻⁹the bound is rightand loose by a square root

A walk needs a length

The gap between the two residuals grows as the square root of something, and a square root needs a length. Two quantities are candidates — how far the iterates travelled and how many steps were taken — and only a second sweep separates them. Across a fourfold change in size the iteration count goes from 39 to 96 and the gap goes from 5.04·10⁻¹⁵ to 5.33·10⁻¹⁵.

iterative · Residual gap

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Unit roundoffBackward errorConjugate gradientsError accumulationCholesky factorisationCondition numberExact ground truthKrylov subspaceLow-rank updatePagerankPower iterationResidual replacement

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